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RALEIGH, NORTH CAROLINA - Q3:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
Page 1  |  2  |  3  |  4   
The Raleigh housing market has seen steady real price increases over the past 13 years, avoiding the unbridled exuberance seen in many coastal markets. Historically, the Raleigh market has avoided national trends and has increasing become tied to local economic conditions. However, recent declines in sales activity have increased the number of homes on the market. Further sales declines should be expected due to current local market psychology, however, significant price declines are unlikely as the mortgage debt servicing cost has remained steady and comfortably low.

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Nominal Price Activity
Raleigh
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q2:2006 – Q3:2006)
1.6%
0.9%
Strong
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q3:2005 – Q3:2006) 
7.0%
7.7%
Good
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
5.2%
13.4%
Fair
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q3:2001 – Q3:2006)
21.4%
55.5%
Fair
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
4.7%
6.1%
Weak
Real Price Activity
Raleigh
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q2:2006 – Q3:2006)
0.7%
0.0%
Strong
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q3:2005 – Q3:2006) 
3.3%
4.0%
Good
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
1.8%
9.7%
Fair
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q3:2001 – Q3:2006)
6.5%
36.6%
Fair
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
0.5%
1.6%
Weak
Affordability Activity
Raleigh
National
Comment
  Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio* (Q3:2006)
18.7%
23.7%
Very Favorable
  Historical Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio*
21.2%
21.7%
Average
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*
This ratio compares the monthly mortgage payment (principal & interest only, which does not include hazard insurance, property taxes or any needed private mortgage insurance) for a median priced home financed at the prevailing 30 year mortgage rate to the local median 4-person family income.
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  Raleigh historical data is for the time period of Q1:1978 – Q3:2006
  National historical data is for the time period of Q1:1975 – Q3:2006


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