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PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
Page 1  |  2  |  3  |  4   
The Philadelphia housing market has seen good price increases over the past 9 years. However, recent sharp declines in sales activity have increased the number of homes on the market and slowed growth. While further sales declines should be expected due to current national market psychology, significant price declines are unlikely as the mortgage debt servicing cost has remained favorable.

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Nominal Price Activity
Philadelphia
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
1.1%
-2.7%
Fair
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
6.7%
1.7%
Fair
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
14.4%
13.4%
Strong
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
72.1%
49.4%
Good
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
6.3%
6.0%
Fair
Real Price Activity
Philadelphia
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
0.7%
-3.0%
Fair
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
3.7%
-1.2%
Fair
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
11.3%
10.3%
Strong
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
51.9%
31.8%
Good
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
2.1%
1.7%
Fair
Affordability Activity
Philadelphia
National
Comment
  Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio* (Q4:2006)
18.2%
21.7%
Favorable
  Historical Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio*
16.2%
20.7%
Low
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*
This ratio compares the monthly mortgage payment (principal & interest only, which does not include hazard insurance, property taxes or any needed private mortgage insurance) for a median priced home financed at the prevailing 30 year mortgage rate to the local median 4-person family income.
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  Philadelphia historical data is for the time period of Q1:1976 – Q4:2006
  National historical data is for the time period of Q1:1975 – Q4:2006


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