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MONTEREY, CALIFORNIA - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
Page 1  |  2  |  3  |  4   
The Monterey housing market has seen a continued decline from the remarkable price increases of years past. The continued sharp declines in sales activity has increased the number of homes on the market and is forcing sellers to lower their expectations. Further sales and pricing declines should be expected, particularly if mortgage rates move higher due to extremely poor affordability.

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Nominal Price Activity
Monterey
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
-2.4%
-2.7%
Poor
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
-2.2%
1.7%
Poor
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
22.1%
13.4%
Strong
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
73.7%
49.4%
Strong
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
8.2%
6.0%
Strong
Real Price Activity
Monterey
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
-2.8%
-3.0%
Poor
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
-5.1%
-1.2%
Poor
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
18.8%
10.3%
Strong
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
53.3%
31.8%
Strong
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
4.2%
1.7%
Strong
Affordability Activity
Monterey
National
Comment
  Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio* (Q4:2006)
56.4%
21.7%
Extremely Unfavorable
  Historical Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio*
38.7%
20.7%
Very High
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*
This ratio compares the monthly mortgage payment (principal & interest only, which does not include hazard insurance, property taxes or any needed private mortgage insurance) for a median priced home financed at the prevailing 30 year mortgage rate to the local median 4-person family income.
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  Monterey historical data is for the time period of Q2:1978 – Q4:2006
  National historical data is for the time period of Q1:1975 – Q4:2006


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