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JACKSONVILLE, FLORIDA - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
Page 1  |  2  |  3  |  4   
The Jacksonville housing market saw its strong price increases over the past few years come to an abrupt end in the 4th quarter. Historically, the Jacksonville market has avoided national trends and has increasing become tied to local economic conditions. However, recent declines in sales activity have increased the number of homes on the market. Further sales declines should be expected due to current national and local market psychology, however, significant price declines are unlikely as the mortgage debt servicing cost has remained below the national median.

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Nominal Price Activity
Jacksonville
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
-1.0%
-2.7%
Poor
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
9.7%
1.7%
Good
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
19.9%
13.4%
Strong
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
77.9%
49.4%
Strong
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
5.8%
6.0%
Fair
Real Price Activity
Jacksonville
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
-1.3%
-3.0%
Poor
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
6.6%
-1.2%
Good
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
16.7%
10.3%
Strong
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
57.0%
31.8%
Strong
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
1.9%
1.7%
Fair
Affordability Activity
Jacksonville
National
Comment
  Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio* (Q4:2006)
17.7%
21.7%
Favorable
  Historical Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio*
14.5%
20.7%
Very Low
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*
This ratio compares the monthly mortgage payment (principal & interest only, which does not include hazard insurance, property taxes or any needed private mortgage insurance) for a median priced home financed at the prevailing 30 year mortgage rate to the local median 4-person family income.
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  Jacksonville historical data is for the time period of Q3:1978 – Q4:2006
  National historical data is for the time period of Q1:1975 – Q4:2006


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