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DETROIT, MICHIGAN - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
Page 1  |  2  |  3  |  4   
The Detroit housing market experienced a small nominal increase in home prices in the fourth quarter, while real prices stagnated. The year finished with nominal losses for the first time since 1983 and in real terms was the 4th worst year on record. Unfortunately, it is has been poor local economics that have lead to a slow and painful decline in home prices, rather than decreased affordability as in many other US cities. However, while further sales declines should be expected due to current local market psychology, significant price declines are unlikely as the mortgage debt servicing cost has remained extremely low.

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Nominal Price Activity
Detroit
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
0.3%
-2.7%
Weak
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
-1.5%
1.7%
Poor
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
1.6%
13.4%
Weak
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
11.1%
49.4%
Weak
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
5.6%
6.0%
Fair
Real Price Activity
Detroit
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
0.0%
-3.0%
Weak
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
-4.4%
-1.2%
Poor
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
-1.2%
10.3%
Weak
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
-2.3%
31.8%
Weak
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
1.5%
1.7%
Fair
Affordability Activity
Detroit
National
Comment
  Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio* (Q4:2006)
13.1%
21.7%
Very Favorable
  Historical Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio*
13.9%
20.7%
Very Low
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*
This ratio compares the monthly mortgage payment (principal & interest only, which does not include hazard insurance, property taxes or any needed private mortgage insurance) for a median priced home financed at the prevailing 30 year mortgage rate to the local median 4-person family income.
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  Detroit historical data is for the time period of Q3:1976 – Q4:2006
  National historical data is for the time period of Q1:1975 – Q4:2006


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