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CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - Q4:2006


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SUMMARY    HISTORY    PEAKS & TROUGHS    FORECASTS
Page 1  |  2  |  3  |  4   
The Chicago housing market experienced a surprising slowdown in the fourth quarter and has actually posted negative real returns over the past 12 months (rolling year). Fortunately, Chicago avoided the unbridled exuberance seen in many coastal markets, but national market psychology appears to have played a role in increased inventories and depressed prices. However, while further sales declines are likely, price declines of any dramatic fashion are unlikely as the mortgage debt servicing cost has remained steady and near the historical average.

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Nominal Price Activity
Chicago
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
-4.0%
-2.7%
Poor
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
0.9%
1.7%
Weak
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
11.0%
13.4%
Good
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
41.8%
49.4%
Fair
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
6.1%
6.0%
Fair
Real Price Activity
Chicago
National
Comment
. Quarterly Appreciation (Q3:2006 – Q4:2006)
-4.4%
-3.0%
Poor
  Rolling Year Appreciation (Q4:2005 – Q4:2006) 
-2.1%
-1.2%
Weak
  Last Year Appreciation (2005)
8.0%
10.3%
Good
  Rolling 5 Year App. (Q4:2001 – Q4:2006)
25.0%
31.8%
Fair
  Historical Average Annual Appreciation
2.0%
1.7%
Fair
Affordability Activity
Chicago
National
Comment
  Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio* (Q4:2006)
21.0%
21.7%
Average
  Historical Mortgage-Debt-to-Income Ratio*
20.5%
20.7%
Average
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*
This ratio compares the monthly mortgage payment (principal & interest only, which does not include hazard insurance, property taxes or any needed private mortgage insurance) for a median priced home financed at the prevailing 30 year mortgage rate to the local median 4-person family income.
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  Chicago historical data is for the time period of Q3:1975 – Q4:2006
  National historical data is for the time period of Q1:1975 – Q4:2006


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